The consensus in the country is that unless Congress acts to rebalance the Disability Insurance Trust Fund, there will be a short fall starting in mid 2016. The belief is that this shortfall will cause the government to pay about 80 percent of the monthly disability benefit to those who are entitled. Why is there a shortfall? Experts say that is is largely due to changes in the American population and the retirement age.
Shortfalls, for various reasons, have occurred in the past. Each time a short fall has arisen, Congress has stepped in to “reallocate” the various trust funds so that disabled Americans who have been declared qualified to receive disability benefits continue to receive those benefits. This reallocation is “normal” for the federal government. Basically, what is reallocated is the Social Security payroll tax income dealing with old-age benefits or the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) and the Disability Insurance Trust Fund. Notability, the reallocations, of which there have been 11 since 1968, run in both directions. That is sometimes the Disability Insurance Trust Fund has been reallocated to transfer money to the OASI and sometimes the OASI has been reallocated to transfer money to the Disability Insurance Trust Fund. The thought about this reallocation is that if allowed, both the OASI and the Disability Insurance Trust Fund would be stable until about 2033. This time period would give Congress enough time to work out a sensible plan to continue funding both trust funds.